Risk Management Toolbox

 

Risk Management Toolbox

Develop risk models and perform risk simulation

Video length is 1:47
A plot showing changes to loan portfolio values with climate risk.

Climate Risk Modeling

Analyze and assess climate-related risk for financial assets.

Plot of observed and predicted defaults across different groups.

Validating Risk Models

Validate risk models with discrimination and calibration metrics.

Screenshot of the Binning Explorer app showing automatic binning of a numeric customer age variable.

Consumer Credit Risk Modeling

Create and analyze credit scorecards, perform predictor screening, explore fairness metrics, conduct stress tests, and model probabilities of default (PD).

Plot showing stress testing scenarios for asymptotic single risk factor (ASRF) and Value at Risk (VaR) models.

Corporate Credit Risk Modeling

Analyze corporate default probabilities, simulate credit portfolio value changes due to credit rating migrations and defaults, identify concentration risks, and calculate regulatory capital requirements.

Plot showing value-at-risk violations over time for multiple models.

Backtesting Models for Market Risk

Assess the accuracy of value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) models.

Diagram showing steps involved in calculating expected credit loss provisions.

Lifetime Models for Probability of Default (PD)

Estimate probability of default based upon lifetime analysis with macroeconomic scenarios using MATLAB. PD models include logistic, probit, and Cox.

ROC plot comparing a tobit model to a group means model.

Loss Given Default (LGD) Models

Estimate loss reserves using regression and tobit models.

Histogram of observed vs. predicted limit conversion factor (LCF) using an EAD regression model.

Exposure at Default (EAD) Models

Predict the amount of loss exposure for a creditor when a debtor defaults on a loan using regression and tobit models.

Plot of estimated ultimate claims from a development triangle model.

Insurance Risk Modeling

Calculate the risk of loss arising from mortality and unpaid claims. Estimate ultimate claims using the chain ladder bootstrap method.

“Some statistical tools can handle credit scoring models based on multivariate statistics or logistic regression, but are not well-suited to the advanced economic capital models needed for Basel II. With its computational power, matrix infrastructure, and ability to perform Monte Carlo simulations, MATLAB gives us a competitive advantage in performing complex risk analyses.”

Risk Management Toolbox FAQs

Risk Management Toolbox is a MATLAB product that supports mathematical modeling and simulation of credit, market, insurance, and climate risk.

The toolbox supports modeling of credit risk (corporate and consumer), market risk, insurance risk, and climate risk.

You can model lifetime probabilities of default (PD), exposure at default (EAD), and loss given default (LGD), calculate expected credit losses (ECL), create credit scorecards, and perform credit portfolio analysis.

The Binning Explorer app lets you automatically or manually bin variables for credit scorecard creation.

The toolbox enables you to assess market risk with value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) models, along with comprehensive backtesting tools.

Yes, it supports insurance risk analysis for unpaid claims, including techniques such as development triangle, chain ladder, expected claims, Bornhuetter-Ferguson, and Cape Cod.

You can visualize and analyze climate scenario data to assess physical or transition climate risk for financial assets.

The toolbox provides a comprehensive suite of model validation metrics for credit models and VaR and ES backtests, including drift, discrimination, and calibration metrics.

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