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LangS

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04 Feb 2012 Granger Causality Test Conducts a Granger Causality test using the Bayesian Information Criterion to select lag length Author: Chandler

This function uses Matlab function "regress" which assumes a constant term(intercept) in the linear regression and therefore violates Granger causality definition(See Granger's original paper, Econometrica 37:3 424-438, 1969).

I applied this function on two random numbers series (10 time points, lag = 2) and repeated 1000 times (every time the two series are different), and set the alpha value as 0.05. Among the 1000 tests, 400 were found to have "Granger causality"! So I think the result is not reliable.

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